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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic Game 7 Odds and Predictions May 5, 2024

Highlights

  • The Cavaliers are the 3.5-point betting favorite in Game 7 against the Orlando Magic on Sunday.
  • Picks for this game include Magic +3.5 and over 194 total points.
  • Player prop bets include the over-on points for Donovan Mitchell and Paolo Banchero.

2023-24 NBA playoff action continues next week. The only matchup scheduled for Sunday features the Cleveland Cavaliers (50-36 SU, 40-44-2 ATS) and the Orlando Magic (49-37 SU, 53-33 ATS).

Here's a look at which squad is ahead in Game 7 of this first-round playoff series and why.

Information about Cavaliers vs. Magic Game 7

When

Saturday, May 5, 2024

Time

7:00 p.m. ET

Where

Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

Location

Cleveland, OH

TV

ABC



Cleveland is the favorite for Game 7

When the Cavaliers and Magic met on Friday night, the Cavaliers had an opportunity to eliminate the Magic on the road. But as they have done throughout the series, Orlando held serve with a 103-96 victory, setting up the first Game 7 of these playoffs.

Donovan Mitchell contributed, scoring 50 points (on 22-for-36 shooting) as well as four rebounds and four assists. He scored Cleveland's final 22 points, including all 18 of the team's points in the final frame.


Darius Garland contributed 21 points, seven rebounds and five assists. Despite Mitchell's spectacular performance, he understands what matters most: his team didn't win.

“We did a great job of sticking together and we were all locked in, but ultimately we didn't get the win, so we just have to go home and take care of business. “We didn't win the game. At the end of the day I had 50, but we lost.”–
Donovan Mitchell

Meanwhile, the Magic were able to avoid elimination, thanks in part to the solid performance of their frontcourt. Paolo Banchero scored 27 points and eight rebounds, while Franz Wagner contributed 26 points and five boards. The head coach knows that his team was close to winning Game 5, so he wants his team to rise to the task of winning Game 7 on the road.

“This is the moment you play for. That's why you do it. You do it for these moments. Being on the move, Game 7, the ability to come together and continue to grow each game. I think this is it.” This group is looking forward to.–
Jamahl Mosley

The Cavaliers haven't won a playoff series since 2018, when LeBron James led the team to the last of his four straight NBA Finals. And the Magic — who are in the playoffs for the first time since 2020 — are seeking their first playoff series win in 14 years.

Now that we've set the stage for the Game 7 showdown, let's examine the betting trends for both sides.

Cavaliers vs Magic picks

GIVEMESPORT presents our selection with analysis

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Magic vs Cavaliers spread

Despite the seven-point loss in Game 6, the Cleveland Cavaliers are the 3.5-point favorite in the series finale (according to BleacherNation.com). Here's a look at how both ball clubs have performed against the spread this season.


  • The Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last five games against Cleveland.
  • The Magic are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Orlando is just 2-6 in its last eight games in May.
  • The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last seven meetings against Eastern Conference teams.
  • In its last 15 meetings against Southeast Division opponents, Cleveland has a meager 3-12 record against them.

The Cavaliers are 16-20-1 ATS when they are the favorite to win by at least 3.5 points. Conversely, the Magic have gone 16-9 ATS in the 25 contests in which they were classified as underdogs by 3.5 points or more. Each team won on their home court, and that trend will continue in Game 7. However, look for the Magic to stay competitive and cover the spread here.

  • Prediction: Orlando Magic (+3.5)

Over under

The projected over/under total for this match was initially 199 points, but the limit has recently increased to 194 points (per Pre-Game.com). Here's why you should choose “under“is the smart choice.


  • The sum is gone UNDER five times in the Magic's last seven games.
  • The UNDER Orlando's overall record in its last 12 games against Central Division opponents is 9-3.
  • The sum is gone UNDER four times in the Cavaliers' last six games.
  • The UNDER Overall, Cleveland has beaten Orlando four times in the last six contests.
  • That was in Cleveland's last five games in May UNDER In total, they won four times.
  • Prediction: UNDER 194 points

Player Prop Betting

Donovan Mitchell scored a whopping 50 points and almost led his team to victory in Game 6. Given these facts, he is the key player to keep an eye on for the home team. He currently has a -108 chance of scoring more than 28.5 points and a -112 chance of finishing with fewer than 28.5 points.

Here's a look at how his numbers compare to the projected point total for this match.


  • Mitchell takes the average 26.6 Points per contest during the regular season and playoffs.
  • In nine games against the Magic this season, Mitchell averaged one 27.1 Points per competition.
  • He's average in the postseason 27.0 Points per trip.
  • Mitchell has played against Eastern Conference teams 40 times this season (including the playoffs). He is average in these competitions 27.7 Points per trip.
  • In 17 meetings against Southeast Division opponents, the Cavaliers scored at guard average 26.8 Points per game.
  • In his last 10 appearances, Mitchell averaged 25.8 points and 4.8 Assists per competition, exceeding the total points for this match four times during this route.
  • Prediction: Donovan Mitchell OVER 28.5 points

After his 27-point performance in Game 6, Paolo Banchero is the key player Orlando should keep an eye on in the series finale. He currently has a -115 chance of scoring more than 23.5 points and a -105 chance of finishing with fewer than 24.5 points.

Do Banchero's numbers compare favorably to the estimated total points for this match? Let's look at the history of the tape to find out.


  • He averaged during the regular season and playoffs 22.7 Points per game in 86 appearances.
  • In 10 games against the Cavaliers this season (including the playoffs), Banchero averaged one 24.3 Points per competition.
  • He's average in the postseason 25.2 Points per trip.
  • Banchero has played 56 times against Eastern Conference teams this season. He is average in these competitions 22.7 Points per trip.
  • In 25 meetings against Central Division opponents, Orlando's big man is performing averagely 23.0 Points per game.
  • In his last 10 appearances, Banchero averaged 24.0 points and 8.3 rebounds per contest, exceeding the point total for that match five times during that stretch.
  • Prediction: Paolo Banchero OVER 24.5 points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic Final Picks

  • The dissemination: Orlando Magic (+3.5) Bleacher Nation
  • About under: OVER 194 points ((Pre-Game.com)
  • Player Prop Bet #1: Donovan Mitchell OVER 28.5 points
  • Player Prop Bet #2: Paolo Banchero OVER 24.5 points

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