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Tropics Watch with Jonathan Kegges

ORLANDO, Florida. – It doesn't have to have a name to have an impact. A disorganized flood of tropical moisture that could combat drought is on its way to Florida.

A collapse in the jet stream helps deep tropical moisture rise northward.

Weather setup for the week

A high pressure system south of Bermuda is also helping to push moisture into Florida. Southwest Florida could see more than a foot of rain.

Rainfall until Saturday

While a tropical development is unlikely with this wave of moisture, there is at least a possibility of it until the third week of June.

The first shot would come east of Florida on the Atlantic side towards the end of the week or over the weekend, resulting from the chaos that will affect the Sunshine State throughout the week.

Future satellite and radar

The second possibility would be moisture in the extreme southwest of the Gulf. At the very least, another wave of tropical moisture would be likely, this time concentrated on the northern Gulf coast.

Officially, the National Hurricane Center does not expect any new developments in the next seven days.

Slow start?

Even though the season has started slowly compared to previous hurricane seasons, unfortunately that does not mean that it will continue to be slow.

Date of formation of the first named storms.

The first named storm of the season does not occur on average until June 20. The first hurricane does not form on average until mid-August.

Tropical climatology

There is still a long way to go.

The first name on the list for 2024 is Alberto.

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Anna Harden

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